steven what i will start with you, what happened to your candidate's big mo? >> look at a poll every two minutes you see something different. melissa: there i momentum here. there is a trend here. >> i actually don't think that's right. i think the trend at the end this week, ifanything is poind back to the presidt. but much more important --. melissa: what poll would that be? >> the poll of the "rasmussen poll" today, the ipsos poll today, the marist, "wall street journal" polls in wa and wiscons show the president up by six and five points and 18 among women. the polls are going all over the place. what they really --. melissa: there are a lot of polls. >> what they show is close race. melissa: byron, to yo, do you think there is trend for mitt romney? a lot of people do? >> in florida, i think something is going on in florida and workiig in mitt romney's favor now. no doubt about it. he seems to be moving ahead. this is not a big sign of victory. florida for romney is a state you don't win it you die. he has to win a lot of other things other than that flor